Washington has had its recent struggles, but will look to get back on track with a healthy squad once again. Will it be able to slow down red-hot Chicago? Find out in our WNBA betting picks and predictions for Sky vs. Mystics.
The defending WNBA champs are rolling. The Chicago Sky have won three straight games, and five of their last six heading into the second leg of a home-and-home set with the Washington Mystics on Wednesday.
Washington fell 91-82 at Chicago on Sunday, but played without superstar Elena Delle Donne (rest) and was missing head coach Mike Thibault and assistant Shelley Patterson due to COVID. It is now back in DC and hoping home court — and a three-day break — can help snap a 1-3 funk over its last four contests.
Here are our free WNBA betting picks and predictions for Sky at Mystics on June 8.
Sky vs Mystics odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Sky vs Mystics predictions
Predictions made on 6/8/2022 at 10:00 am ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Sky vs Mystics info
• Location: St. Elizabeths East Entertainment and Sports Arena, Washington, DC
• Date: Wednesday, June 8, 2022
• tip-off: 8:00 pm ET
• TV: The U, NBCS-Washington
Sky vs Mystics betting preview
Sky: Julie Allemand G (Probable), Li Yueru F (Questionable).
Mystics: No injuries to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between Chicago and Washington. Find more WNBA betting trends for Sky vs. Mystics.
Sky vs Mystics picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
A healthy dose of home court has helped Chicago build momentum, playing four of its last five in the Windy City including Sunday’s victory over Washington. The Mystics, however, weren’t at full strength for that marquee matchup, opting to rest Delle Donne and playing without their head coach on the sideline.
Washington has all its focus going into this huge home stand Wednesday, not only getting Thibault back from health and safety protocols, but allotting Delle Donne’s surgically repaired back a five-game respite. In between, the Mystics have enjoyed some much-needed practice time in DC after playing three of their last four on the road.
Washington is hoping the trip home can spark an offense that has struggled to consistently produce due to key players coming in and out of a lineup that’s seen nine different starting rotations this season. On top of having Delle Donne with fresh legs tonight, the Mystics got starting forward Alysha Clark back for limited minutes in the loss to the Sky after she sat out three of the previous four outings.
A steady effort from the offense could be all Washington needs, especially with the way the Mystics can defend when at full strength. Their methodical pace with the ball helps limit opponents’ possessions (league-low pace rating of 93.85) and when foes do touch the ball, Washington allows nothing easy.
The team gives up just 23.4 field goal attempts within eight feet of the basket per game (another WNBA low), limiting opponents to a mere 31.3 average points in the paint. Chicago leaned into its power in the paint and beat up the Mystics for 48 points inside on Sunday. However, with the 6-foot-5 Delle Donne back and center Shakira Austin patrolling the paint, Washington will be a tougher team to break in the interior.
The Mystics could pack the inside and force the Sky to do damage from outside. Chicago did go 9-for-20 from 3-point range in Sunday’s home win, but it’s not the most consistent threat from deep, shooting 31.6% from distance on the year (10th). That success rate dips to 30% away from home.
After losing the first two games with Chicago this season, Wednesday’s matchup is a very important contest for the Mystics. This is as healthy and as ready as we’ve seen them all season and we’ll give them the benefit of the doubt in what should be a tight contest.
Prediction: Mystics -1.5 (-118 at FanDuel)
Don’t let the high-scoring result of Sunday’s game fool you: Wednesday will be all about the defense. Oddsmakers pegged this total at 155.5 points with two of the top defensive clubs in the WNBA duking it out.
Chicago and Washington sit No. 3 and No. 4 in advanced defense rating arrangement. The Mystics don’t allow many easy looks at the hoop, protecting the paint, while the Sky check foes to just 40.7% success from the field — second lowest in the league — and are seamless on switches and help-side defense.
Both clubs are quick to beat foes to the spot and move their feet on defense, which sees them ranked No. 1 and No. 3 in personal fouls. Washington sends opponents to the free-throw line 15.1 times per game while Chicago is right below that at 15.6. That means little scoring with the clock stopped.
The Mystics enter Wednesday with a 2-10 Over/Under record while the Sky are 3-6-1 O/U.
Prediction: Under 155.5 (-110 at PointsBet)
Covers basketball betting analysis
The result of Sunday’s game has tacked on an extra point to this total, but Washington is a much different team with Delle Donne on the floor.
The Mystics get small quick when the star forward is out of action, and will need her defensive prowess to slow down the Sky’s offensive weapons inside. Washington allows just 71 points against when Delle Donne is in the lineup versus 77.25 points per game when she’s not.
Chicago sees a bit of a blip in its offensive production away from the Windy City, going from 84.8 points per home game to just 77 points as a visitor. But the Sky make up for that split with defense, checking host teams to a mere 72.5 average points on their own floor.
Overall, the 2022 WNBA season has produced an even 34-34-2 Over/Under count. But take out the Mystics and Sky from those betting stats, and the league has gone 31-20-1 O/U (60.8% Overs).
Pick: Under 155.5 (-110 at PointsBet)
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